When Dick Grayson, commented, "gosh, economics sure is a dull subject," Bruce Wayne retorted thus, "Oh you must be jesting, Dick. Economics, dull?. The glamour, the romance of commerce. It's the very lifeblood of our country's society."
The first transfer of loans to NAMA have been completed with Irish Nationwide and EBS transferring €2.6 billion and €875 million respectively. NAMA will acquire loans with a nominal value of €16 billion for €8.5 billion at an average discount of 47%. This 'haircut' represents a short-back and sides for the banks when perhaps they went in for a trim. It was widely touted that the overall 'haircut' would be the region of 30%. You can find the details of the first loan transfers here.
The headline grabber is the extent of the greed, incompetence and the toxicity of loans in Anglo Irish Bank. The initial €5 billion that NAMA will pay for €10 billion of Anglo loans could rise to between €18 billion and €22 billion. These staggering figures can be contextualised by noting that income tax revenue in Ireland is approximately €15 billion per annum, whilst the total tax take is around €35 billion, over a twelve month period. The expectation was that Anglo would require 12 or 13 billion Euro.
The Minister for Finance claims this to be the 'least worst solution,' as to wind down the bank over a ten year period will cost €30 billion, but this figure is as yet, unsupported. Though, as the cost of winding the bank down and the cost of keeping it as a going concern is narrowing, this argument weakens weekly.
"I understand the impulse people have to obliterate this bank from the system," Lenihan said in the Dáil today of Anglo.
In fact just an hour ago on RTÉ Six-One news, Minister Lenihan said to wind down Anglo Irish immediately would cost €70 billion. The consensus among economists seems to be that Irish Nationwide and Anglo will offer no return on tax payers money.
Here are some juicy tit-bits for you to impress your friends with:
The total cost to the tax payer could be as high as €40 billion but if that doesn't sound big enough to you, maybe you can take a leaf out of Labour leader Eamon Gilmore's book and say, forty-thousand-million Euro.
Originally it was hoped NAMA would make €5 billion over ten years but this figure, in the light of today's revelations, was wildly optimistic.
NAMA will cost €26,000 for every family in Ireland.
NAMA has paid €1.3 billion for loans for land which includes development that is less than 30% completed.
One bank delivered 100,000 pages of loan documents.
There are 15,000 surplus hotel beds in Ireland and NAMA has just paid €800 million for loans for hotels.
Brian Lenihan, assures us that the 'interests of the tax payer are of paramount importance.' But the tax payer is exposed and left with no choice but to pick up the tab for the banks' greed and incompetence. Two shining examples of banking mismanagement where highlighted by a contributor to RTÉ's live coverage, reminding us that developer Liam Carroll was given €300 million in loans by Anglo Irish without legally securing collateral and in Britain, A.I.B. loaned €800 million to a man with a criminal conviction for fraud.
Brian McDonagh, Chief Executive of NAMA, said for those 'not cooperating, we will use the full riggers of the law' and that their valuations of the loans 'reflect fundamental fair value.'
The success or failure of NAMA will not be determined in the short-term. What will be known in the more immediate future is the Fianna Fáil backbenchers reaction to NAMA and Brian Cowen's leadership at a parliamentary party meeting scheduled for later this evening or tomorrow morning. Pow! Thwok!